Polymarket Market Movers — Week of 2026-06-16
polymarket, prediction markets, data, market analysis
The biggest moves across Polymarket this week, pulled from a live dataset of 16,412,836 price snapshots across 19,467 markets (updated every 15 minutes). Snapshot date: 2026-06-16.
Biggest 24-hour price moves
| Market | Category | 24h change (pp) | 24h volume ($) |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? | sports | +85.5 | 230,200 |
| HSBC Championships: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Corentin Moutet | sports | -63.5 | 1,127,101 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 16? | crypto | -57.0 | 175,400 |
| Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30? | science_tech | +55.3 | 81,950 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 16? | crypto | -51.6 | 66,795 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 16? | economics | -50.0 | 130,406 |
| Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch | geopolitics | -49.5 | 472,456 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on June 16? | crypto | -49.3 | 110,854 |
| Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner | other | +48.5 | 214,985 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on June 16? | crypto | -47.0 | 369,864 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? | sports | -45.5 | 279,659 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? | politics | +40.2 | 186,891 |
Highest-volume markets right now
| Market | Category | 24h volume ($) |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | politics | 10,575,992 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | sports | 9,129,782 |
| Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | sports | 7,572,584 |
| Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | sports | 7,411,264 |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? | geopolitics | 6,233,743 |
| Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | politics | 4,894,589 |
| Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | sports | 4,421,147 |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | sports | 4,079,452 |
| Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | sports | 3,841,645 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | sports | 3,466,217 |
Get the full data
This is a weekly snapshot. The complete historical dataset — every 15-minute price across all 19,467+ markets, 16,412,836+ snapshots — is available for backtesting, ML, and research:
- [Browse the dataset](https://protodex.io/datasets/polymarket-historical.html) — schema, columns, and samples
- Full download ($15 one-time) — https://manja8.gumroad.com/l/agyjd
- Updated weekly ($29/mo) — https://manja8.gumroad.com/l/PolyScope
*Data collected by a 24/7 pipeline. Same source behind api.protodex.io.*