Polymarket Market Movers — Week of 2026-07-13
polymarket, prediction markets, data, market analysis
The biggest moves across Polymarket this week, pulled from a live dataset of 21,143,246 price snapshots across 26,078 markets (updated every 15 minutes). Snapshot date: 2026-07-13.
Biggest 24-hour price moves
| Market | Category | 24h change (pp) | 24h volume ($) |
| Valorant: 2GAME Esports vs la Masia (BO5) - VCL Brazil: Playoffs | sports | -63.5 | 68,606 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026? | sports | +53.0 | 56,145 |
| Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces | sports | +40.0 | 1,069,953 |
| NBA Summer League: Portland Trail Blazers vs. Orlando Magic | sports | -37.5 | 109,441 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026? | sports | +31.0 | 38,244 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9? | geopolitics | +23.5 | 35,859 |
| Will Goiás EC win on 2026-07-12? | other | -23.0 | 173,013 |
| Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? | politics | -20.0 | 39,777 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 13? | crypto | -19.0 | 58,457 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31? | geopolitics | +18.0 | 57,366 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026? | sports | -17.6 | 36,819 |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? | geopolitics | -16.5 | 190,737 |
Highest-volume markets right now
| Market | Category | 24h volume ($) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | sports | 3,865,353 |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | politics | 3,645,546 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | sports | 2,908,937 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | sports | 2,847,187 |
| Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | geopolitics | 2,733,936 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | sports | 2,237,262 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14? | other | 2,171,885 |
| Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces | sports | 1,069,953 |
| France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5 | sports | 806,300 |
| Will France vs. Spain end in a draw? | sports | 721,970 |
Get the full data
This is a weekly snapshot. The complete historical dataset — every 15-minute price across all 26,078+ markets, 21,143,246+ snapshots — is available for backtesting, ML, and research:
- [Browse the dataset](https://protodex.io/datasets/polymarket-historical.html) — schema, columns, and samples
- Full download ($15 one-time) — https://manja8.gumroad.com/l/agyjd
- Updated weekly ($29/mo) — https://manja8.gumroad.com/l/PolyScope
*Data collected by a 24/7 pipeline. Same source behind api.protodex.io.*