Polymarket Market Movers — Week of 2026-07-27
polymarket, prediction markets, data, market analysis
The biggest moves across Polymarket this week, pulled from a live dataset of 23,867,128 price snapshots across 28,689 markets (updated every 15 minutes). Snapshot date: 2026-07-27.
Biggest 24-hour price moves
| Market | Category | 24h change (pp) | 24h volume ($) |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 25? | weather | +96.5 | 44,460 |
| Spread: Los Angeles FC (-2.5) | other | +47.5 | 131,713 |
| Spread: Los Angeles FC (-1.5) | other | +39.1 | 392,550 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23? | geopolitics | -39.0 | 24,908 |
| Global Super League: Guyana Amazon Warriors vs Desert Vipers | sports | +35.0 | 135,905 |
| Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | sports | +31.2 | 61,440 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | politics | +28.0 | 491,280 |
| Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-07-25? | other | -26.0 | 984,831 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July? | other | -25.0 | 122,730 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July? | other | +25.0 | 29,261 |
| LoL: Dignitas vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winner | sports | -23.5 | 295,680 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 31? | geopolitics | -23.0 | 86,264 |
Highest-volume markets right now
| Market | Category | 24h volume ($) |
| Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | politics | 1,848,193 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | politics | 1,086,208 |
| Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-07-25? | other | 984,831 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 me | economics | 629,800 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 me | economics | 621,210 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | geopolitics | 616,229 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | other | 602,656 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | other | 570,019 |
| Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Edward Winter | sports | 514,828 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26? | politics | 498,442 |
Get the full data
This is a weekly snapshot. The complete historical dataset — every 15-minute price across all 28,689+ markets, 23,867,128+ snapshots — is available for backtesting, ML, and research:
- Browse the dataset — schema, columns, and samples
- Full download ($15 one-time) — https://manja8.gumroad.com/l/agyjd
- Updated weekly ($29/mo) — https://manja8.gumroad.com/l/PolyScope
*Data collected by a 24/7 pipeline. Same source behind api.protodex.io.*