Polymarket Market Movers — Week of 2026-08-03
polymarket, prediction markets, data, market analysis
The biggest moves across Polymarket this week, pulled from a live dataset of 25,494,310 price snapshots across 30,441 markets (updated every 15 minutes). Snapshot date: 2026-08-03.
Biggest 24-hour price moves
| Market | Category | 24h change (pp) | 24h volume ($) |
| Valorant: G2 Esports vs Sentinels - Map 1 Winner | sports | -59.0 | 317,108 |
| Will SC Internacional win on 2026-08-02? | other | +58.5 | 81,757 |
| Spread: CF América (-1.5) | other | +55.5 | 118,907 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | sports | +53.0 | 46,888 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | politics | -49.4 | 186,779 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | sports | +46.0 | 1,952,303 |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles | sports | +44.5 | 383,304 |
| Valorant: G2 Esports vs Sentinels - Map 2 Winner | sports | +41.5 | 178,162 |
| CF América vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 2.5 | sports | +40.0 | 117,081 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 10.5 | sports | +35.5 | 70,359 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | politics | +32.0 | 858,664 |
| Will CF América win on 2026-08-02? | other | +31.5 | 122,832 |
Highest-volume markets right now
| Market | Category | 24h volume ($) |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | geopolitics | 2,287,001 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | sports | 1,952,303 |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Eala | sports | 1,640,592 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | other | 1,134,293 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | politics | 858,664 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | politics | 691,714 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | politics | 684,693 |
| Canadian Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Nuno Borges | sports | 620,934 |
| LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winner | sports | 585,905 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | other | 573,734 |
Get the full data
This is a weekly snapshot. The complete historical dataset — every 15-minute price across all 30,441+ markets, 25,494,310+ snapshots — is available for backtesting, ML, and research:
- Browse the dataset — schema, columns, and samples
- Full download ($15 one-time) — https://manja8.gumroad.com/l/agyjd
- Updated weekly ($29/mo) — https://manja8.gumroad.com/l/PolyScope
*Data collected by a 24/7 pipeline. Same source behind api.protodex.io.*