Polymarket has 1,334 active politics markets clearing $5657.5M in cumulative volume. This is the top 15 by current dollar flow.
Top 15 Politics Markets
| # | Market | Volume | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | $279.6M | $4.5M |
| #2 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | $173.3M | $20.0M |
| #3 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | $126.7M | $15.5M |
| #4 | Netanyahu out by March 31? | $104.2M | $14.7M |
| #5 | Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | $98.6M | $2.4M |
| #6 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | $87.8M | $1.6M |
| #7 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | $63.1M | $2.3M |
| #8 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | $56.0M | $7.3M |
| #9 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | $55.0M | $629K |
| #10 | Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | $53.1M | $2.6M |
| #11 | Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | $52.7M | $2.2M |
| #12 | Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | $52.5M | $2.3M |
| #13 | Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | $50.4M | $1.5M |
| #14 | Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | $49.5M | $540K |
| #15 | Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | $46.8M | $2.4M |
Snapshot from the Protodex Polymarket dataset, captured 2026-06-16.
Why Politics Markets Are Worth Watching
Politics markets typically have the deepest informed-trader pool on Polymarket — partisans, journalists, lobbyists, and professional speculators all converge on the same handful of high-stakes contracts. That density makes prices unusually informative compared to retail-dominated categories like entertainment or weather.
If you want to backtest a strategy on this category, the full historical dataset has 15-minute price snapshots and orderbook depth for every politics market in this list. Get the dataset →
📊 The Full Polymarket Historical Dataset
15.0M+ price snapshots across 18,100+ prediction markets. 15-minute frequency, orderbook depth, 74+ days of data, updated weekly. Use the same source data behind this post for your own backtests, models, and research.
Get the dataset →