Polymarket has 1,441 active politics markets clearing $6117.8M in cumulative volume. This is the top 15 by current dollar flow.
Top 15 Politics Markets
| # | Market | Volume | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | $279.6M | $4.5M |
| #2 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | $176.3M | $9.9M |
| #3 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | $173.3M | $20.0M |
| #4 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | $126.7M | $15.5M |
| #5 | Netanyahu out by March 31? | $104.2M | $14.7M |
| #6 | Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | $98.6M | $2.4M |
| #7 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | $87.8M | $1.6M |
| #8 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | $65.6M | $1.6M |
| #9 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | $63.1M | $2.3M |
| #10 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | $56.0M | $7.3M |
| #11 | Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | $53.7M | $2.4M |
| #12 | Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | $52.9M | $2.4M |
| #13 | Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | $52.7M | $2.2M |
| #14 | Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | $50.8M | $1.0M |
| #15 | Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | $49.7M | $629K |
Snapshot from the Protodex Polymarket dataset, captured 2026-07-01.
Why Politics Markets Are Worth Watching
Politics markets typically have the deepest informed-trader pool on Polymarket — partisans, journalists, lobbyists, and professional speculators all converge on the same handful of high-stakes contracts. That density makes prices unusually informative compared to retail-dominated categories like entertainment or weather.
If you want to backtest a strategy on this category, the full historical dataset has 15-minute price snapshots and reported liquidity for every politics market in this list. Get the dataset →
📊 The Full Polymarket Historical Dataset
17.3M+ price snapshots across 20,500+ prediction markets. 15-minute frequency, 85+ days of data, updated weekly. Use the same source data behind this post for your own backtests, models, and research.
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